Showing posts with label mortgages. Show all posts
Showing posts with label mortgages. Show all posts

News from Tulsa

I just got back yesterday from meeting with The Leadership Council, a group of large independent brokers from around the country.  This time we met at Chenowth & Cohen in Tulsa, where growth is high and unemployment is low.  Tulsa turns out to be almost in the exact center of the country geographically, both north to south and east to west, so it is home to a lot of company distribution and service centers, as well as energy companies and others.  It is just approaching the million mark in population. People are moving from all different parts of the US, and many that I met had come from Texas. Boy, does it seem different from New Haven in those regards!

Tulsa has about two and a half months of housing inventory.  Prices are rising, and units are growing.  Like us, they have problems with mortgages and closing times, and sales are not easy.  However, it's really about jobs.  If people have jobs, and employees are moving into the region to work, then it's obviously easier to sell your home and buy another one, because there is a steady supply of buyers being created.  In addtion, the West has ranches and open land all around, making it much simpler and cheaper for builders to add new product. 

The real estate business has some characteristics in common all over, but there are some differences.  They have centralized showing, so agents make one call to arrange all the properties for a buyer to see.  They also have lots of listings where contact is through the owner, which seems odd to us.  States with title companies owned by real estate companies are more real estate agent driven than lawyer driven.  Towns and cities are farther apart, and many agents I met worked an hour or more from home.  There seemed to be more concentration--one agent I met with had 159 listings!  Advertising has left newspapers in many places, and you don't see the big Sunday ad sections.  Everything is done on line, or directly by real estate companies. 

Other practices were similar to ours, including the work ethic of agents, the changes brought by technology, and the complications of lending and governmental regulations.  It's always refreshing to see both the old and the new, and to step out of the regular daily grind and view it from a distance.

More Reasons to Buy Now

The Wall Street Journal this morning had one of the most positive articles about the current real estate market that I've seen in a long time. They said that, if you take out foreclosures, the real estate prices are really off less than 1 percent from a year ago, suggesting that we are at the bottom of the market. In addition, mortgage rates are near a 50-year low, and the ratio of housing prices to income is over 20 percent better than the fifteen-year average. Although household formation rates have fallen recently, the aging of the baby boomers portends an uptick in home purchases and second home acquisitions over the next number of years. They even went on to say that most people still want to own homes, even discounting or ignoring the investment value, because of control over their environment and access to schools and other amenities. They predict that prices will start to climb soon.

All of this seems to indicate that now is the time to buy. It never pays to try to find the low point at its exact nadir. All indications say that we are now close to that point, and therefore buyers should be rushing out to buy. The article does talk about the new difficulties in qualifying for and obtaining mortgages, but there are many other people who simply aren't buying because they are worried about the future value of their investment. Do those people not worry about the stock market? The bond market? The value of art and antiques? In fact, do they sleep at all?

It seems clear that we need to continue to convince buyers that the time to act is soon. If not today, then later this week or month!