Showing posts with label consumer confidence. Show all posts
Showing posts with label consumer confidence. Show all posts

It's Time for a New Year and a New Attitude

Much of what's been published about recent consumer trends and confidence is very encouraging.  Even the real estate news is improving.  Car sales went up at the end of 2011, and both online and retail holiday sales were very strong, compared to projections.  Can there be any doubt that, in 2012, real estate sales will follow?

So now the question for prospective buyers is:  Do you want to be ahead of or behind the curve?  Once all the signs for improvement are in place, you know that it's only a matter of time before prices start to rise.  You also know that, due to tightening mortgage requirements everywhere, and the hurricane and freak snowstorm locally, there is a lot of pent-up demand waiting to be satisfied.  There are also a lot of folks on the sidelines, just holding off until they know that the economy is on the mend. 

Given those variables, you can put your oar into the water first, and get the best price, or you can stand still until you see other people starting to move, and then try to beat them.  It's your choice, but I think the correct answer is clear!

Where Retail Goes, Will Real Estate Follow?

Retailers seem very happy with sales so far this holiday season.  Even booksellers, according to today's New York Times, have been seeing big increases.  Given the lackluster sales in the past few seasons, this seems to indicate that consumers have loosened their purse strings.

What does that mean for real estate?  While the fact that someone will buy a book doesn't necessarily mean that they will buy a house, the fact that someone won't buy a book almost certainly means that they will not make a large purchase like a house.  So it's a prerequisite that consumers have to feel more confidence before the real estate market will improve.  Hopefully, we're almost there.  Given the historic low interest rates, it's hard to believe that we haven't gotten there already.  Perhaps the start of a new year will push us over into a seller's market, or at least into a balanced one.

Be Patriotic--Buy Some Real Estate

Happy Fourth of July! The front page of last Thursday's New York Times showed the results of a poll of Americans regarding their feelings about real estate. Not surprisingly, it indicated that a big majority of those polled believe that owning real estate is still the American dream, and that it would be their choice, even though those same people were more divided as to the safety of such an investment.

It used to be that almost everyone believed that buying a house was the best and safest thing to do with their money. Their faith in the second half of that statement has been shaken by the recent financial crisis, but the first half is undeniably still true. Even those who do not own homes believe in the mortgage deduction's importance, and hope that the primacy of real estate will remain steady.

That's good news for the future of the economy. While we realize that there is still work to be done in convincing people to put down their deposits and buy, it's clear that they wish to be convinced to act. It also seems true that they would be happy to find reasons to do so. When that's the case, it's important to find ways to get people off the fence. Once those who are not absolutely required to sell begin to do so, others will follow. The consumer confidence necessary for that isn't there right now. It's up to government, unfortunately, to find a way to make that so. Jobs have to be created, and the future needs to look a little brighter. But the underpinnings are there. The beliefs remain.

So this Fourth of July, while you are watching the fireworks and soaking up the sun, make plans to get out there soon and buy some real estate. It's the patriotic thing to do!